Jason Abrahamson

Previously I highlighted my feelings that Steve Jobs might be the most valuable asset and greatest hindrance to Apple. Few remember the Apple dark years, this is where Apple fans so conveniently forget it was Bill Gates and his billions that gave Steve Jobs the capital to bring Apple back from the dead. Arguably though, it was Steve Jobs that took Apple there to begin with — and it looks as though he might very well do it again.

Money isn’t in hardware, its in software. Microsoft proved that theory long ago. If you want to control a market space you either be a pioneer with about 100 mile head-start or License your product to everybody else.

In the smart phone market RIM was the pioneer with about 100 mile head-start. RIM was so far ahead of their competitors in the smart phone market space its taken years for others to catch them — and will take many more to oust them. Apple was a johnny come lately to a crowded party dominated by RIM, Palm and Microsoft. With that said though, nobody can deny they made one heck of an entrance. Apple has certainly hogged most of the attention from Microsoft, and nearly kicked Palm out of the party.

Apple revolutionized and raised the bar for all the competitors. Apple has also controlled every aspect and development of the product. They’re also sticking to Steve Job’s refusal of not licensing their software to other hardware manufacturers. This will likely prove to be a very costly to Apple in the long run — just as it was 25 years ago. Google’s AndroidOS has been eating away at Apple’s coveted market space, and has grown so aggressively that they outpaced Apple to rank number 2 in the US market last quarter. Apple will have a difficult time keeping up with Google since Apple is locked into a 5 year deal with AT&T. Even after the deal, the damage will have already been done. With Android being just as good as iPhone, and not being heavily controlled there will be little incentive for other US Carriers to pick up the iPhone.

If that wasn’t enough bad news for Apple, Verizon is in talks with Google to produce an Android based tablet, and Archos will bring the first Android tablet to market.

The most important thing worth noting here is that Google already built and shipped their own phone, NexusOne, which Verizon and Sprint both nixed from their lineup in favor of the HTC Droid Incredible. Thus showing that the quickest way to control a market space is in fact through licensing.

The iPod is what brought Apple back from the dead. It opened up the world to Apple, iPhone is what turned Apple into the powerhouse it is today. Without the iPhone, Apple is nothing more than a company making MP3 players and overpriced computers.

Will Steve Job’s control freak antics sink Apple once again? It’s far too soon to tell, but no matter what this doesn’t look well for Apple. The glasshouse keeps getting broken windows.

It’s no secret Sun has been selling overpriced hardware since, well, forever, and It’s no secret that Sun has been loosing market share accordingly. Java was the one part of Sun that was incredibly desirable. Sure you have MySQL, OpenOffice, and a few other things, but they were all gravy to the almighty Java. Not to mention, how long do you really think MySQL and OpenOffice will stick around for? What is the point? Larry Ellison isn’t in the top ten richest people in the world for giving things away.

Oracle is incredibly expensive — which would be OK if you got an incredibly great product (which is a different blog all together) — but Larry is taking his same pricing model for software and applying it to hardware. For some reason or another Oracle expects people to pay a premium for Sun Hardware, Sun Products, and Sun Support — why? Just because it comes in a pretty red box now rather than a purple one?

My feeling is Oracle is trying to actually dismantle the Sun as we know it. I think they see the value in Java and will likely keep that exactly as is, but I have a feeling Oracle is trying to actually reduce the market share even further of Sun hardware and try to phase out products like MySQL.

These conclusions are purely speculative, however, It would explain their current actions. Driving up the costs of using MySQL Enterprise and Sun Hardware would reduce the market share even more and eventually make both irrelevant. This would allow Oracle to bring a database product with less features to the same market space — and bundle hardware with their database products — ideal solution for enterprise customers

I’m not entirely sure yet what Oracle is trying to gain from these changes to support and cost increases but one thing is fore sure — customer retention isn’t one of them.

PCWorld is reporting that Apple trying to get out of dodge with an Anti-Trust case. Their stock has taken a beating being down 3% today.

The bigger problem is how do you respond? Steve Jobs has come out in public support and explanation of their practices. As a company this puts Apple in somewhat of a bind. It’s estimated that Steve Jobs is worth about $25Bn or 1/8th of Apple’s total value. We’re not talking about stock or net-worth, we’re talking about assets. If Steve Job is considered an asset, his value to Apple is estimated at $25Bn dollars, or as I said, about 1/8th of Apple’s total market value.

So now what does Apple do? To change or alter their position would not be in alignment with the opinion of the most valuable asset to the company, but to not alter their position can and would likely result in a length legal battle — one which could leave Apple vulnerable.

A DOJ ruling could look similar to US vs MS in which entire divisions are no longer allowed to share any information. That would mean that iTunes or the Apple Store could not collaborate on integration into the iPhone. That could prove to be an incredibly fatal blow to the simplistic and seamless end user experience Apple so covets. That wouldn’t be all though, other platforms would have to be more widely accepted on their platform — thus making the stability of the device questionable – bringing problems faced by Microsoft, RIM, and Google — all leading competitors in the market space.

Since the beginning, Steve Jobs has always been a control freak. His insistence on not allowing Mac OS on any non-apple platform, his dictation of distribution, advertising, and fierce control of Apple’s reselling led to his demise in the 80′s. As my father always said, you can’t change a Zebra’s stripes, and there is no doubt that Jobs is the puppet master behind what are arguably more anti-competitive practices than Microsoft ever practiced. Could Jobs prove to be Apple’s most valuable asset but biggest hindrance at the same time?

Only time will tell, but for now, Apple is in one heck of a pickle.